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Prediction for CME (2014-01-07T18:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2014-01-07T18:24Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/4353/-1
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2014-01-09T19:32Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 3.0

Predicted Arrival Time: 2014-01-09T04:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h)
Prediction Method: DBM
Prediction Method Note:

CME arrival at target (date & time): 09-JAN-2014 at 04:00UT
Impact speed at target (at 1 AU): 800+/-100 km/s
Input parameters:
CME take-off date & time: 07-JAN-2014 at 19h:24min
R0=15.5 Rs, v0=2200 km/s, gamma=[0.1-0.2]×10-7 km-1, w=350-450 km/s, Rt=1 AU.

Lead Time: 33.83 hour(s)
Difference: 15.53 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Manuela Temmer (UNIGRAZ) on 2014-01-08T09:42Z

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